Well they say we just missed the freight train.  The sun is 93 million miles away and the solar flare of magnetic particles that shot towards us was traveling at 4 million miles an hour.  Think of it being a fire hose shooting at a basket ball a quarter of a mile away.  If it does hit us we are going to be drenched.

So, what are we lead to believe?  Two years ago NASA posts a terrible warning, a solar storm of biblical proportions.  Now NOAA "Predicts solar cycle 24 to be the weakest since 1928 with a $1 trillion in damage in the worst case"  Unfortunately our high power electrical grid system here in the U.S.A. is still very vulnerable.  Earth's weak magnetic field with several large holes in the magnetosphere will still allow the destructive effects of plasma from a solar flare.   Is it still coming?  Yes.  When will it arrive?  The worst may occur in the next few years.  What will happen?  No one knows for sure.

What should we do?  First, do your homework.  You need to be prepared for an emergency.  Do a search on Urban Survival.  It also wouldn't hurt to learn the simple life of the Amish.

Here is my prediction on what will happen and when.  I believe it will happen in early spring of 2013, probably during the day (fifty percent chance it will be at night).  There may be a small precursor a day or a week or two ahead of time.  Like the one we just had.  And like now, some people will think they are past the danger and go about life as normal.  Those that are smarter will be alerted. 

First cell phones will loose service and the electricity will go off, and then maybe, cars will stall along with the lose of land line phones.  There will be a few accidents, but since most people will be at work or school, there wont be any major initial panic or concern.  Most bosses will want to keep their people at the work place in case the power does come back on. 

The key sign or signal of trouble here is the land line phone system.  They have large battery backup systems and when they go down, it means real trouble.  Most of the larger private businesses have gone to a VOIP phone system so you may not know for sure.  We have an old wired hand phone next to the company FAX line to check that out when we suspect phone problems.  I intend to use that as a verification method.

What should you do?  I plan to head for home, helping as many people along the way as I can since there will be no other help and hunker down for a few days, and pray.  My daily car commute is fourteen miles which will take me a good four to five hours walk.  I will have prepared a Get Home Bag which will contain the following:

For those of you that have children, you may have to walk to their school and get them since the school may not release them on their own.

I will have stocked up food and supplies to last for several days at my home.  After a couple of days I will go out and meet with my neighbors and determine what we can do together to help each other and maybe even form a new society, one without modern electrics.  I'll make friends with the local farmers, and learn how to barter.  If the money runs out, some good things to barter with are, booze, cigarettes, toilet paper, and of course food and water.

Here is the flow chart I have in mind.

When the electric power goes out.. I'll check my cell phone, if it works I'll stay and sit tight.

If the cell phone doesn't work ...I'll check the land line, if it works I'll wait and sit tight.

If the land line doesn't work ..I'll fill up my water bottles and head for home. 

Remember, we are only as civilized as we act!  We must be helpful to others!

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